基于生成对抗网络的中长期光伏出力场景生成方法
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作者单位:

(1.上海电力大学电气工程学院 ,上海 200090;2.同济大学电气工程系 ,上海 200082)

作者简介:

通讯作者:

罗萍萍(1969—),女,副教授,主要从事电力系统的稳定性分析及控制、配网自动化、EMS、电力市场及能源政策等方面的研究;E-mail:luopingping@shiep.edu.cn

中图分类号:

TM615

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(51177107)


Method for generating medium and long -term photovoltaic output scenarios based on generative adversarial networks
Author:
Affiliation:

(1. School of Electrical Engineering , Shanghai University of Electric Power , Shanghai 200090, China; 2. Department of Electrical Engineering , Tongji University , Shanghai 200082, China)

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    摘要:

    针对年度光伏出力场景生成的变量维度过高的问题,提出一种基于生成对抗网络的中长期光伏出力序列场景生成新方法。先采用模糊 C均值聚类算法划分日气象状态,基于生成对抗网络模拟日内气象信息的时序性;再引入状态划分网络,构建状态生成对抗网络,模拟周内气象状态的分布规律;然后,从周尺度和日尺度分层生成光伏出力序列场景;最后,采用中国某光伏电站的历史气象和光伏出力数据,验证所提方法的有效性和正确性。

    Abstract:

    A new method for generating medium and long-term photovoltaic output scenarios based on generative adversarial networks is proposed to address the problem of high variable dimensions in generating annual photovoltaic output sequence scenarios.Firstly,the fuzzy C-means clustering (FCM) algorithm is used to divide daily meteorological states,and the temporal nature of daily meteorological information is simulated based on generative adversarial networks.Then,a state division network is introduced,and a state generative adversarial network is constructed to simulate the distribution pattern of meteorological states during the week.Photovoltaic output sequence scenarios are generated by layering from weekly and daily scales.Finally,historical meteorological and photovoltaic output data from a photovoltaic power station in China are used to verify the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method.

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管庭基,罗萍萍,林济铿,等.基于生成对抗网络的中长期光伏出力场景生成方法[J].电力科学与技术学报,2025,(4):161-170.
GUAN Tingji, LUO Pingping, LIN Jikeng, et al. Method for generating medium and long -term photovoltaic output scenarios based on generative adversarial networks[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology,2025,(4):161-170.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-11-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-27
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