基于时域融合变换器的配电网电能质量预测模型
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(国网宁夏电力有限公司吴忠供电公司 ,宁夏 吴忠 751100)

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通讯作者:

侯小娥(1985—),女,副高级工程师,主要从事大数据分析、数字化建设等方面的研究;E-mail:63097233@163.com

中图分类号:

TM711

基金项目:

国网宁夏电力有限公司科技项目(SGNXWG00HLXX2310924)


Prediction model for power quality of distribution networks based on temporal fusion transformer
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(Wuzhong Power Supply Company , State Grid Ningxia Electric Power Co ., Ltd., Wuzhong 751100, China)

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    摘要:

    电能质量的异常检测对于配电网的可靠运行至关重要,其精准性直接关系到电网系统的稳定性和安全性。而在实际工作中,通过人力对异常情况进行实地分析不仅费时费力,且无法做到提前治理。为此,提出一种结合特征筛选、信号分解和基于注意力的深度神经网络的配电网电能质量异常预测模型。首先,采用基于最大互信息系数(maximal information coefficient,MIC)的快速相关性滤波算法 (fast correlation-based filter,FCBF)组合特征筛选方法对输入数据进行特征选择。其次,将选定的输入特征和相应组件输入时域融合变换器 (temporal fusion transformer,TFT)模型进行预测,输出电压偏差、频率偏差和谐波畸变率等电能质量异常预测结果。与传统模型相比,该模型显著降低了复杂性和计算时间,并能提高故障诊断的准确性。该方法实现了对电能质量的实时监测,推动了配电网运维日常管理的智能化、可视化。

    Abstract:

    Anomaly detection of power quality is crucial for the reliable operation of the distribution network,and its accuracy is directly related to the stability and security of the power grid system.In practice,it is not only time-consuming and laborious to analyze the anomaly in the field by manpower but also impossible to manage the anomaly in advance.To this end,a prediction model for power quality anomaly of distribution networks,which combines feature screening,signal decomposition,and an attention-based deep neural network,is proposed.First,the fast correlation-based filter (FCBF) algorithm based on maximal information coefficient (MIC) is combined with a feature screening method to select features of the input data.Then,the selected input features and corresponding components are fed into the temporal fusion transformer (TFT) model for prediction,and the prediction results of power quality anomalies such as voltage deviation,frequency deviation,and harmonic distortion rate are output.The complexity and computation time are significantly reduced,and the accuracy of fault diagnosis is potentially improved by the model,compared to conventional models.The real-time monitoring of power quality is realized,and the intelligence and visualization of the daily management of distribution network operation and maintenance are promoted.

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侯小娥,王宁,寿绍安,等.基于时域融合变换器的配电网电能质量预测模型[J].电力科学与技术学报,2025,40(6):156-163.
HOU Xiao'e, WANG Ning, SHOU Shaoan, et al. Prediction model for power quality of distribution networks based on temporal fusion transformer[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology,2025,40(6):156-163.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-02-03
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