Charging station planning for electric vehicle based on charging load forecast by MCMC method in multi-dimensional state space
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

TM73;U491.8

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    The location and capacity planning of electric vehicle charging stations are closely related to the travel characteristics of electric vehicle loads. Therefore, only when the charging load demand is reasonably predicted can an effective charging station planning result be obtained. To this end, this paper firstly defines the state space of electric vehicle charging load in multiple dimensions, and the probability matrix of state transfer of charging load can be established consequently. Furthermore, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) load forecasting model based on the multi-dimensional state space of electric vehicles travelling is proposed, the spatial-temporal prediction distribution of charging load is obtained by combining the real-time sample data. Then, a two-level programming model considering the economic benefits and user satisfaction of enterprise station construction is established. With the variable weight particle swarm optimization, the optimal site and scale of charging station can be determined. Finally, the simulation results can demonstrate the rationality and effectiveness of the model and method.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

张美霞,叶睿琦,杨秀,孙铨杰.基于多维状态空间MCMC充电负荷预测的充电站规划[J].电力科学与技术学报英文版,2022,37(4):78-87. Zhang Meixia, Ye Ruiqi, Yang Xiu, Sun Quanjie. Charging station planning for electric vehicle based on charging load forecast by MCMC method in multi-dimensional state space[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology,2022,37(4):78-87.

Copy
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: September 23,2022
  • Published: