Research on probabilistic power flow calculation improvement method of power system including wind and photovoltaic power generation
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(1.Central China Branch of State Grid Corporation of China, Wuhan 430077, China; 2.School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)

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TM711

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    Abstract:

    The fluctuation in the output of new energy sources can increase the operational risks of the new type of power system. To address the issue of negative values that arise when using the A?type gram?charlier series expansion to fit probability density functions, in probabilistic power flow calculations for electrical systems with wind and photovoltaic integration, the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) technique and the C?type Gram?Charlier (CGC) series expansion method are introduced. Then a power system probabilistic power flow calculation method is proposed based on the LHS?CGC approach. Taking the calculation results of the monte?carlo method as the reference, the probability density distribution of various system state variables and output variables is verified in three operational modes: summer peak load, winter off?peak load, and high penetration of new energy sources, using the improved IEEE 30 test system. This validates the accuracy and effectiveness of the method proposed in this paper, which also exhibited a high computational speed. Through comparative analysis of probabilistic power flow calculation results under different operational modes, it is found that the system branch currents and voltage exceedance risks increase during high penetration of new energy sources. Therefore, in grid planning and dispatching, special attention needs to be given to the impact of seasonal variations in wind and photovoltaic output on the operational risks of the system.

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甘 艳,黄菁雯,吴 军,吕华林,陈 佳,蔡泓威,杜志叶.含风电光伏电力系统概率潮流计算改进方法研究[J].电力科学与技术学报英文版,2023,38(5):34-43. GAN Yan, HUANG Jingwen, WU Jun, Lü Hualin, CHEN Jia, CAI Hongwei, DU Zhiye. Research on probabilistic power flow calculation improvement method of power system including wind and photovoltaic power generation[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology,2023,38(5):34-43.

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  • Received:
  • Revised:
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  • Online: January 15,2024
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