基于熵权法的新能源高渗透率送端电网风险模糊综合评价
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TM732

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国家重点研发计划(2018YFB0904200)


Fuzzy synthetic evaluation based on entropy method of high renewable energy penetration power grid at sending end
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    摘要:

    新能源高渗透率送端电网在中国分布广泛,同时存在难以忽略的风险,但是目前没有针对新能源高渗透率送端电网风险评估的模型和指标体系,传统风险评估方法也难以对其进行定量风险评估。构建较为完整的新能源高渗透率送端电网风险评价指标体系,提出基于熵权法的新能源高渗透率送端电网风险模糊综合评价方法,利用熵权法确定各指标权重,采用改进三角梯形隶属函数确定隶属度,通过模糊综合评价得到综合评价结果。针对某新能源高渗透率送端电网实例进行分析,分析结果表明提出的方法可有效评估新能源高渗透率送端电网风险程度,为电网实际运行提供依据和参考。

    Abstract:

    The high renewable energy penetration power grid at sending end is widely distributed in China and their safety risks are existed and can not be ignored. Currently, there is no specific model and indicator system for its risk assessment while the traditional risk assessment method is also difficult to conduct a quantitative risk assessment. Under the background, a relatively complete evaluation index system is constructed for the high renewable energy penetration power grid at sending end, and a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is proposed based on the entropy weight method. The entropy weight method is utilized to determine the weight of each index. The degree of membership is determined by the improved triangular trapezoidal membership function and the comprehensive evaluation results are obtained through fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. This paper analyzes an example of the high renewable energy penetration power grid at sending end. The analysis results show that the proposed method can effectively evaluate the risk degree of the power grid at sending end and provide a basis and reference for the actual operation of the power grid.

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郝如海,智勇,祁莹,等.基于熵权法的新能源高渗透率送端电网风险模糊综合评价[J].电力科学与技术学报,2021,36(1):73-78.
HAO Ruhai, ZHI Yong, QI Ying, et al. Fuzzy synthetic evaluation based on entropy method of high renewable energy penetration power grid at sending end[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology,2021,36(1):73-78.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-04-16
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