综合能源系统风险识别与分析
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TM863

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国网山东省电力公司科技项目(52060718021K)


Risk identification analysis of integrated energy system
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    摘要:

    综合能源系统作为能源互联网的重要实现形式,一方面通过多能互补与市场机制提升了能源的利用效率,但另一方面也引入了更多的风险因素。为了保障综合能源系统的安全性,建立针对综合能源系统风险评价体系的重要性日益凸显。在此背景下,通过对综合能源系统中的风险因素进行识别、探究,将综合能源系统的风险分为规划、调度以及运行风险3类,建立综合能源系统风险评价体系;并对每一类型的风险提出相应的预防措施或相应对策,提高综合能源系统对各类风险的抵抗能力。结合实际算例,评估各类风险带来的危害程度,并验证解决措施的有效性,在风险评估的基础上对风险进一步管控,有利于提高综合能源系统风险管控水平。

    Abstract:

    As an important realization form of the energy Internet, the integrated energy system enhances energy utilization efficiency through multienergy complementation and market mechanisms. However, it introduces more risk at the same time. To ensure the safety of the integrated energy system, the importance of establishing a risk assessment system for the integrated energy system has become increasingly important. This paper identifies and explores the risk factors in the integrated energy system, divides the risks into three categories: risks in planning, dispatch and operation. A comprehensive risk evaluation index system is established. Furthermore, the corresponding preventive measures or countermeasures are proposed for each type of risk to improve the resistance of the integrated energy system to various risks. Finally, in the case studies, the harm grade caused by different type of risk to further control the risk based on the risk assessment is evaluated and the effectiveness of the results are verified. It is found that the proposed method improves the risk management level.

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王春义,李彪,汪媛,等.综合能源系统风险识别与分析[J].电力科学与技术学报,2021,36(6):28-39.
WANG Chunyi, LI Biao, WANG Yuan, et al. Risk identification analysis of integrated energy system[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology,2021,36(6):28-39.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-01-05
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