中国省级天然气分布式能源开发环境评价及聚类分析
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赵振宇(1969-),男,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要从事清洁能源电力建设、工程项目管理研究;E-mail:zhaozhenyuxm@263.net

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TK01+9,F206

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北京市自然科学基金(8194023)


Provincial evaluation and cluster analysis of environments for gas distributed energy system development in China
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    摘要:

    天然气分布式能源正成为清洁能源利用的新的重要领域,考虑不同环境特点因地制宜是天然气分布式能源有序推广和健康发展的重要前提,因此,需要建立系统科学的分析指标体系开展不同地区的评价和对比研究。通过文献研究法识别天然气分布式能源项目开发的影响因素,从中归纳出地区天然气分布式能源开发的资源条件、能源环境、经济环境和社会环境等4个维度的16个可量化指标,建立地区天然气分布式能源开发环境评价指标体系。应用所建指标体系采用主客观组合赋权法,开展全国31个省级行政区的天然气分布式能源开发环境评价和综合得分排序。依据评价结果,将天然气分布式能源发展的地区按环境划分为五类,并对比分析五类地区在天然气分布式能源开发资源条件、能源环境、经济环境和社会环境方面的差异。针对五类地区的不同环境特征,提出相应的发展策略建议。

    Abstract:

    The gas distributed energy system (GDES) is becoming a new and important field of clean energy utilization. Considering different environmental characteristics according to local conditions is an important premise for the orderly promotion and healthy development of GDES. It is necessary to establish a systematic and scientific index system to evaluate and compare GDES in different regions. This paper identified the influencing factors of GDES developments through a literature review. Total 16 quantifiable indicators were concluded from 4 aspects involving resource conditions, energy environments, economic environments, and social environments. An evaluation index system of regional GDES development environments is established. Then, a combined weighting determination method was applied to evaluate and rank the GDES development environments of 31 provincial administrative regions in China. According to the evaluation results, the development environments were divided into five categories, and the differences in resource conditions, energy, economic, and social environments were compared. According to the different environmental characteristics of the five categories, a series of development strategies was suggested.

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赵振宇,叶慧男,耿孟茹.中国省级天然气分布式能源开发环境评价及聚类分析[J].电力科学与技术学报,2022,37(4):175-182.
ZHAO Zhenyu, YE Huinan, GENG Mengru. Provincial evaluation and cluster analysis of environments for gas distributed energy system development in China[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology,2022,37(4):175-182.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-23
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