多运行目标下的分布式光伏接入配电网极限容量多模型评估方法
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(广东电网有限责任公司东莞供电局,广东 东莞 523000)

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通讯作者:

张 锐(1988—),男,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事综合能源、调度自动化、智能电网方面的研究;E?mail:524595906@qq.com

中图分类号:

TM615

基金项目:

广东电网公司重点科技项目(0319002021030103DK00003)


An evaluation method for the maximum distributed photovoltaic power capacity absorbed in the distribution networks considering multiple operation targets
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(Dongguan Power Supply Bureau,Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Dongguan 523000, China)

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    摘要:

    作为异构能源的重要组成之一,分布式光伏电源并网运行时由于其出力的随机性、波动性等特性,对传统配电网络的安全稳定运行构成了较大程度的冲击和威胁;同时,随着发电容量的进一步提升,配网接纳分布式光伏电源的能力将成为主要制约因素。为此,在兼顾多运行目标的前提下,构建多模型学习方法,设计并整合光伏出力变化预测模型、负荷分布预测模型以及配网接纳分布式光伏极限容量评估模型,全过程分析光伏接入对配网运行产生的影响。构建Elman神经网络模型,确保光伏发电出力变化的预测精度;建立BP神经网络模型,在保障配网负荷时间、空间分布预测精度的同时,兼顾预测效率;在多约束条件下,基于PSO模型提出针对分布式光伏发电最大准入容量的优化模型,实现配网接纳分布式光伏发电极限的准确评估。实例结果表明,所提出方法可为配网安全稳定运行提供保障,并能够为配网接纳分布式光伏发电极限容量提供规划参考。

    Abstract:

    As one of the important components of heterogeneous energy, the distributed photovoltaic power will affect the safety and stability of the traditional distribution network, due to the randomness and the fluctuation of its output. With the increase of power generation capacity, the ability of distribution network to incorporate the distributed photovoltaic power becomes the main constraint. Therefore, under the premise of considering multiple operation targets, a multi?model learning method is constructed in this paper, which consists of a PV force change prediction model, a load distribution prediction model, and a distributed PV maximum capacity evaluation model. The impacts of photovoltaic access on the distribution networks during the whole process can be analyzed by the proposed model. The Elman neural network model is proposed to ensure the prediction accuracy of the photovoltaic power generation variations. The BP neural network model is established to consider the prediction accuracy as well as the prediction efficiency. The PSO model for the maximum capacity of distributed photovoltaic power generation is built, so as to realize the accurate evaluation of the limit of distribution network acceptance of distributed photovoltaic power. The empirical results show that the proposed method can ensure the safe and stable operation of the distribution network, and is also beneficial for the planning of the maximal capacity of distributed photovoltaic power generation in the distribution networks.

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张 锐,饶 欢,徐睿烽,等.多运行目标下的分布式光伏接入配电网极限容量多模型评估方法[J].电力科学与技术学报,2023,38(4):143-150.
ZHANG Rui, RAO Huan, XU Ruifeng, et al. An evaluation method for the maximum distributed photovoltaic power capacity absorbed in the distribution networks considering multiple operation targets[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology,2023,38(4):143-150.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-11-06
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