基于保险精算理论的储能运营商利益分配策略
作者:
作者单位:

(1.上海电力大学电气工程学院,上海 200090;2.上海交通大学电子信息与电气工程学院,上海 200240;3.中国太平洋财产保险股份公司,上海 200120)

作者简介:

通讯作者:

解 大(1969—),男,博士,教授,主要从事电力系统分析与仿真以及电力经济等方面的研究;E?mail:xieda@sjtu.edu.cn

中图分类号:

TM72

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划(2021YFB2401200)


Benefit allocation strategy for energy storage operators based on insurance actuarial theory
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.School of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China; 2.School of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China; 3.China Pacific Property Insurance Co., Ltd., Shanghai 200120, China)

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    摘要:

    储能运营商可提高电力供应的可靠性,减少停电损失。为进一步扩大储能供电可靠性的应用场景并增加储能运营商的收益,提出一种基于保险精算理论的利益分配策略。先基于拟合停电损失分布,结合信度理论与纯保费模型,构建B?hlmann保费模型;再建立基于健康指数的修正故障率模型,并采用最小路径法,计算各类用户的停电保险赔付概率;最后,将停电保险与峰谷套利相结合,构建储能运营商的收益模型,最大化其在全寿命周期内的收益,并将该收益与其未参加停电保险的收益进行比较。研究结果表明:与保险公司合作可大幅提高储能运营商的收益,加快投资成本回收。

    Abstract:

    Energy storage operators can enhance the reliability of power supply and mitigate the losses caused by power outages. To further expand the application scenarios of energy storage for improving power supply reliability and increase the profits of energy storage operators, a profit allocation strategy based on insurance actuarial theory is proposed. Firstly, the B?hlmann premium model is constructed by fitting the distribution of power outage losses, integrating credibility theory with the pure premium model. Then, a corrected failure rate model based on a health index is established, and the minimum path method is employed to calculate the insurance indemnity probabilities for various users in the event of a power outage. Lastly, by combining power outage insurance with peak-shaving and valley-filling arbitrage, a profit model for energy storage operators is constructed to maximize their profits over the entire lifecycle, which is then compared with their profits without participating in power outage insurance. The research findings indicate that collaborating with insurance companies can significantly boost the profits of energy storage operators and accelerate the recovery of investment costs.

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解 大,代荣荣,高少炜,等.基于保险精算理论的储能运营商利益分配策略[J].电力科学与技术学报,2024,39(5):247-261.
XIE Da, DAI Rongrong, GAO Shaowei, et al. Benefit allocation strategy for energy storage operators based on insurance actuarial theory[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology,2024,39(5):247-261.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-12-02
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